Predictably Irrational by Dan Ariely — book cover

Predictably Irrational

Dan Ariely · 2008

Predictably Irrational (2008) is a book by Dan Ariely on Behavioral economics & irrationality. Behavioral economist Dan Ariely uses playful, rigorous experiments to show that our worst decisions aren't random mistakes, they're systematic, repeatable irrationalities you can learn to spot and design around.

13 min read · 11 chapters · Psychology

Why it’s on the shelf

Accessible experiments showing our irrationality is systematic and predictable, with actionable takeaways.

Three of the ideas you’ll keep

The Clif summary of Predictably Irrational pulls out 8 insights. Here are the first three.

  1. You don't judge value in absolute terms, you judge it by comparison, so deliberately strip away the 'decoy' options sellers add to make one choice look like a bargain.
  2. First prices you see become anchors that quietly shape what you'll pay for years; before buying, ask whether your sense of 'fair price' is based on anything real or just the first number you encountered.
  3. 'Free' hijacks your judgment and makes you chase zero-cost offers that cost you time, attention, or worse choices, weigh free items against what you actually want, not against paying.

The other 5 — and the full 13-minute summary — are in the app.

What’s inside: 11 chapters

The whole summary runs about 13 minutes, read or listened to.

  1. The Truth About Relativity
  2. The Fallacy of Supply and Demand
  3. The Cost of Zero Cost
  4. Social Norms vs. Market Norms
  5. The Influence of Arousal
  6. Procrastination and Self-Control
  7. The High Price of Ownership
  8. Keeping Doors Open
  9. Expectations and the Power of Price
  10. The Context of Our Character: Why We Cheat
  11. Putting It to Work: Designing Around Our Irrationality

Finish Predictably Irrational tonight.

Read or listen to the full summary in about 13 minutes, then keep the ideas with a minute of review a day. Start with the 2-minute quiz — no card required.